Tagged: BEANE

Billy Must Know That Winning is Near.

 

     For an organization that is, shall we say, frugal?  And of course does not make that much money to begin with.  This must be a move that is based on Billy Beane expecting to win either this upcoming season or the next.  Billy Beane has locked up the underrated, but injury prone Mark Ellis.  Not “Nick Johnson like,” in that Ellis cannot stay on the field at all, but more like the “JD Drew type” where he plays well more than half the games, but has only a few full seasons under his belt.  

 

     Mark Ellis has been an above average defender at second for some time now.  And his bat is plenty capable enough for that position too.  But Ellis is far from a star, and that is understood when he only accepted a two-year deal, that is worth $10 million, with an option for a third.  An Oakland based writer after the 2007 season, nitpicked his way into a “Mark Ellis was as valuable as Derek Jeter” debate.  It was a good effort, and Ellis and Jeter weren’t too far apart to call him crazy that season.  But Ellis is no Jeter.

 

     Ellis however, can still help a team win, and if Billy Beane believes so, then so do I.  Unless of course Billy has something else up his sleeve…  So Beane must be confident that either this season or next, the A’s could win 90 games.  He must be thinking that maybe the Angels are primed to be pounced with all of the decisions that they have to make this offseason.  And if not, it is very unlikely the Angels repeat and win 100 games, especially if there is a team that can actually challenge them within the division.  Because Billy Beane does not just give millions of dollars to 32 year old players.  Beane is a bargain hunter.  Paying money to a 37 or 38 year old player isn’t out of the question for him, but it will only be for one year, and will be for far less money than this.  If Beane thought the team had little chance to win that 90 game mark that he eyes, then I have trouble believing that he extends Ellis’ stay in the bay.   

Billy Beane’s Got Balls.

 

     My Inspiration

 

          Billy Beane is arguably the best General Manager in the game of baseball.  There is no proof that he is the best, for he has never won a World Series, and even then, there would not be definite proof.  But I would most likely put him at the top, despite (or is it “in spite?”)  of the fact that he never won a ring.  He did more with less, and the quality that the teams he built consisted of were truly, really good teams.  Maybe they were young, and inexperience was the cause of them falling short every year…maybe not.  After all, other young teams have won (2003 Marlins).  But other young teams, were not these young teams.  When a GM such as Theo Epstein, or any GM, wins a World Series, observers tend to want to say that they may be the best at their job.  But it isn’t all about winning a World Series, is it?  Well, it is…but not everyone is on the same playing field.  Epstein is a good General manager, but he has help.  A hefty payroll, loads of talent, more depth than he can use at times.  And that depth is attributed to his ability to build it, he and the scouting crew that is assembled that is.  But one thing he has, that Beane does not, is the ability to sign veteran players for A LOT of money.  Something that Billy Beane has never had.  So I don’t necessarily hold it against Beane that he has not brought Oakland to the promise land.  Beane could never go out and overpay for a pretty good player (JD Drew).  Beane could never afford to pay $50 million, simply for the rights to pay that same guy $50 million more (Daisuke).  And although Daisuke is not great, he is a good pitcher, or pretty good at least.  Let us watch a few more years of him.  But Theo has many more resources available to him.  But give him credit, for not pulling the trigger on certain moves and that is what has made him a good GM.  And I would assume that it isn’t easy to sit there and watch integral pieces of one’s championship team walk away.

 

     Anyway, the title of the link, which I will be honest, I did not read.  I simply skimmed down and glanced enough to remember to add Nick Swisher to this list of names:  Swisher, Blanton, Harden, Haren.  These are the players that Billy Beane traded to revamp the A’s farm system.  My first thought when I saw the title was independent of the words within the article, because I did NOT read it.  All I thought was, “They better have “transformed” the system!!!”  When that many quality, established veterans are traded, then one must be able to get a good return.  But that is not a knock on Beane, not every GM would have the “balls” to do what he does, or did.  I mean this was the same guy that would have traded Varitek if he took over the Red Sox front office.  I understand that it is hard to calculate the value that one catcher brings over another catcher, in terms of working with the pitching staff, and calling a game, etc.  We may overvalue Varitek, not necessarily what he does, but what he does more so than the average catcher.  However, we may NOT overavalue that either, but Beane was willing to try and prove that all that “intangible” stuff that Varitek does, is overrated.  Again, I don’t know whether it is or not, but we all have varying views of it. 

 

     So Beane trades away most of why the A’s had a chance to win approximately 84 games (post Haren).  Which is too few, and Beane understood that.  And what he did, and has done in the past, is pull the trigger.  Beane’s theory, according to Rob Neyer, is that “if you can’t win 90, then you might as well lose 90.”  It isn’t completely accurate (See: 2006 Cardinals), but I get what he is saying.  And he, unlike many other GM’s in the game, has the ability to do what he believes in, even if the locals don’t like it.  He has the ability to view the larger picture.  Being in mild contention, with an overachieving team, near the midway point, and being up against teams that clearly have more talent, isn’t worth not pulling the trigger.  Beane wants to build a team that can win 90+ games, in multiple years, increasing the odds that they not only get into the postseason, but have multiple chances at doing so, realistically. 

 

     And so he did it.  He “transformed” the system.  Which isn’t a big accomplishment.  Trading away good players, while not being an idiot while doing so, can bring back  a good amount of talent.  But remember, it was Beane and his scouting department that drafted the players, or obtained the players to begin with.  So all of the players he acquired were because of he and his staff. 

 

     And then there is this…

 

     Billy Beane is a baseball GENIUS.